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Strikes on Iran Show the Force, and Limits, of Airpower Why has traditional airpower been sidelined in one campaign while dominating the other? And what does this answer hold for the future of airpower? The world has learned a great deal about airpower over the last three years. Russia and Ukraine have waged a brutal air campaign that has raised serious questions about the future of manned combat aircraft. By contrast, Israel and the United States have unleashed a devastating air campaign that appears to have rendered an enemy with formidable defenses nearly incapable to resist. The best place to start for an evaluation of how the air campaign has changed remains retired U.S. Air Force Col. John Warden’s “Five Rings” model. As an analytical tool, the Five Rings model divides targets into five concentric rings: armed forces in the field, population, infrastructure, organic essentials, and leadership. The idea is that each ring is successively more difficult to strike but gives greater leverage in terms of damage to a regime. As a normative argument, the model implies that force is best spent attacking the critical inner rings rather than the hard outer shell. While there are other models of airpower, this one may be the most useful right now for thinking about the differences between Ukraine and Iran. In three years of war over Ukraine,
Monday, 06/23/2025, Video Clip |
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