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Why Trump Changed His Mind on Iran For five months, U.S. President Donald Trump seemed clearly to want a negotiated settlement to Iran’s nuclear program. Since the start of his second term in January, he sent U.S. negotiators to meet with their Iranian counterparts in either Oman or Italy five times toward this end. Yes, he had given Iran a 60-day deadline in April. But journalists and analysts mostly ignored it, placing it in the category of Trump bombast much like his tariff timelines, which seemed to change daily. The conventional wisdom was and remained that Trump wanted a deal. The U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan undermined this conventional wisdom—and likely closed off the possibility of negotiations. So what changed? And why now? There are a number of possible explanations, of course. The most straightforward is one a senior Trump administration official relayed to me at a rubber-chicken dinner during the president’s first term: Trump means what he says and says what he means. Thus, when the 60 days were up, Iran’s nuclear program was in the crosshairs. That seems self-serving, and geopolitics is often more contingent and complicated than the tough guy image the president and his supporters like to portray. Despite Trump’s self-image of resolute decision-making, he often changes his mind—thus, the expression “TACO”
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